72% لم يتابعوا جلسة الثقة، 64% يريدون الكهرباء و77 % يمنحونها الثقة

30% لا احد و25% زياد بارود
لا تفضل الأكثرية (30%) من المستطلعين أي وزير في هذه الحكومة، بينما يعتبر 25% منهم وزير الداخلية والبلديات زياد بارود وزيرهم المفضل، و15% وزير الطاقة والمياه جبران باسيل، 6% وزير الصحة العامة محمد جواد خليفة، 3% وزير العمل بطرس حرب، 3% وزير الأشغال العامة والنقل غازي العريضي، والنسبة الباقية (18%) توزعت على وزراء آخرين (رسم 2).
أما تبعاً للطائفة فالأول لدى الموارنة والكاثوليك والسنة والشيعة هو زياد بارود ويتساوى في موقعه مع جبران باسيل لدى الأرثوذكس بينما يتقدم عليه باسيل لدى الأرمن ويحل ثانياً لدى الموارنة والكاثوليك. ويأتي محمد جواد خليفة الثاني لدى الشيعة بعد بارود، ويحل العريضي الأول لدى الدروز (جدول رقم 1).

الكهرباء، فرص العمل
وتأمين الطبابة
طرحت الحكومة في بيانها الوزاري العديد من الأولويات وهي لا تختلف عن أولويات الناس كما بيّنها الاستطلاع الحالي، اذ يطالب 64% من المستطلعين أن تولي الحكومة الأولوية لتأمين التيار الكهربائي، 40% لتوفير فرص العمل، 29% لتأمين الطبابة بكلفة مقبولة، 23% لتأمين المياه، 19% لتحقيق الأمن، 17% لزيادة الرواتب والأجور، 16% لتفعيل الرقابة على أسعار السلع الأساسية، 13% لتحسين ظروف المعيشة، 12% لتحسين التعليم الرسمي، 9% لضمان الشيخوخة، 8% الحد من أزمة السير، كما أن هناك أولويات أخرى لم نوردها كونها كانت أولوية لدى فئات صغيرة (رسم 3).

72% من اللبنانيين المستطلعين لم يبالوا بمناقشات النواب وكلماتهم في مناقشة البيان الوزاري للحكومة. وهذه اللامبالاة تجد انعكاســها في الإجابة عن الوزير أو النائب المفــضل إذ يعتبر 30% و40% من المستطلعين أنهم لا يفضلون أحــداً من الوزراء أو النواب.
الوزير المفضل تبعاً لربع المستطلعين هو زياد بارود.
النائب المفضل تبعاً لـ40% من المستطلعين «لا أحد».
كان من الطبيعي أن يأتي مطلب تأمين الكهــرباء كأولوية لدى أكثرية 64% من المستطلعين كون هذه المشكلة تشمل جميع اللبنانيين.
نالت الحكومة ثقة نيابية تفوق الثقة الشعبية التي تبقى مرتفعة أيضاً.

72% did not watch Parliament’s deliberations; 64% want government to solve electricity shortage and 77% gave it vote of confidence

The new government, which won a vote of confidence of 121 MPs out of 128 after three days of lengthy televised parliamentary deliberations, has pledged in its ministerial statement to carry out reforms and improvements in the fields of security, politics, administration, and public services.

In an opinion poll, Information International asked citizens whether or not they followed parliamentary sessions to debate the ministerial statement, the top socio-economic priority the new government should address, their favorite ministers and MPs and whether or not they give the government their vote of confidence.

1-    Televised deliberations: 72% unconcerned

A majority of Lebanese, 45%, said they did not watch the parliamentary sessions at all while 27% said they followed some, bringing to 72% or three quarters the percentage of Lebanese who feel unconcerned with the event. In comparison, 9% of respondents followed all the sessions; 11% most of them, 20% said they were interested in the debates and 8% followed almost half of the meetings. (Chart 1)

2- Favorite minister: 30% voted no one and 25% support Ziad Baroud

Thirty percent of respondents, a majority, said they do not have a favorite minister in the current government; 25% said their favorite was Minister of Interior and Municipalities Ziad Baroud, 15% said Minister of Energy and Water Jebran Bassil, 6% said Minister of Public Health Mohammad Jawad Khalifeh, 3% said Minister of Labor Boutros Harb, 3% said Minister of Public Works and Transportation Ghazi al-Aridi, 2% said Minister of Justice Ibrahim Najjar. The remaining 16% was distributed among other ministers with each receiving 1% or less. (Chart 2)

According to confession, Baroud came first among Maronite, Catholic, Sunni and Shia’a respondents. Both Baroud and Bassil ranked first among the Orthodox. Bassil preceded Baroud among the Armenians and came second among the Maronites and Catholics. Khalifeh came second after Baroud among Shia’a respondents while Aridi came first among the Druze. (Table 1)

Table 1: Favorite minister according to confession:

3-Favorite MP: 40% said no one

A majority of respondents, 40%, said they do not have a favorite MP. The remaining 60% was distributed among all the MPs between 1% and 2% each.

4- Three priorities: Electricity, employment and healthcare:

64% of respondents want the new government to give top priority to electricity shortages, 40% want more job opportunities, 29% want it to secure adequate and affordable healthcare, 23% to provide water, 19% security, 17% to increase wages and salaries, 16% to actively control prices of essential commodities, 13% to improve living conditions, 12% to improve public education, 9% want guaranteed pension fund, 8% want it to control traffic jams. (Chart 3)

5- Vote of confidence: 77% give current government vote of confidence

The government won the confidence of 95% of parliament and 77% of respondents. 22% of respondents gave a no-confidence vote while 3% said they were unconcerned. (Chart 4)

According to confession, a vast majority of Maronite, Orthodox, Catholic and Sunni respondents gave the government a vote of confidence while the percentage dropped among the Druze, Armenians and Shia’a, as shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Position regarding the current government by confession:

In conclusion:

-             72% of respondents were not concerned with the MPs debates during the discussions of the ministerial statement.

-             30% of respondents did not have a favorite minister.

-             40% did not have a favorite MP.

-             A quarter of respondents favored Baroud.

-             A solution to the electricity problem was a demand for 64% of respondents.

-             The government received a higher vote of confidence in parliament than among respondents, but remained popular.

Description of the sample:

The opinion poll was conducted over the telephone between December 10 and December 14 2009 on a sample of 500 citizens across the Lebanese qada’as. Respondents were distributed depending on the size of voters and the confessional structure of each qada’a. They included males and females from different age and social groups.