Opinion Poll

  Issue No 6, Dec 2002

Polling Lebanon 2002
Ii takes a look back at some of the most significant results in Lebanese public opinion over the last year

Perceptions of the international arena


On the United States: It is “an enemy,” say 58%
In a poll of 1,300 people conducted over the six Lebanese mohafazas during the Arab Summit in March 2002, attitudes toward the United States were gauged, with the majority of respondents (58.4) viewing the country as an enemy. The remaining responses to the question are illustrated in Graph 1. However, it is important to note that in a Zogby International poll, the majority of respondents (63%) held a favorable view of the American people, but held an unfavorable view of U.S. government policies (86%). This perception ties in with a more recent poll that was conducted in October concerning the Wazzani water crisis, where only 2% of people trusted the U.S. as a mediator, showing that attitudes toward the U.S. remain negative.

On the question of the best U.S. president regarding Arab issues, 21% of the Lebanese public perceived Bill Clinton to have done the best job, followed by Jimmy Carter at 12.2%, while more than half of respondents replied that no American president was good in furthering Arab issues. President George W. Bush was perceived as the worst by 60.3% of respondents, with Clinton following his lead at 8.2% and George Bush Sr. trailing behind the two at 7.8%.

Calls for a boycott of American products had taken hold earlier this year, following the Israeli military incursion into Jenin and 40.2% of respondents who participated in a boycott said it was to show solidarity with the Palestinian cause. 36% said the boycott was their way of showing refusal and discontent with American policies because of their support for Israel, while 23.7% simply said the U.S. is an enemy that should be subject to a boycott. Despite such strong indignation, 55.2% of those respondents did not believe that boycotting American products would have any effect on American policies, while 32% said change was possible.

On Israel: 75.6% do not believe normal relations can ever be established. 12.3% thought it is possible, while only 3.1% strongly believed that the normalization of relations is a viable prospect. In fact, the existence of Israel was viewed by the majority of respondents as the root cause of the Arab world’s problems today. Others lay the blame on other factors, as shown in Graph 2.

In terms of the boycott, 80.8% of respondents said they would refuse to buy products made by a company that supports Israel, while 18.5% said they would be willing to purchase such products.

On the United Nations, 27% of respondents stated that organization’s performance is bad. 28.8% considered it average, while 26% considered the organization’s performance to be weak, with only 4.3% giving it an excellent assessment.

Domestic Issues


On the VAT, 61.2% of those polled reported that the VAT decreased their purchasing power.
In a poll conducted with both merchants and shoppers during the February shopping festival, the effects of the VAT were gauged, with effects on purchasing power shown in Graph 3.

56% of the public report that their family income does not cover their expenses. On the economy, the majority (76.6%) of the 1,250 people polled rated the situation in February as bad, while 13.4% said it was weak and only 0.2% said it was excellent. Consequently, 24.5% of respondents noted that the economic situation should be the government’s top priority, followed by 21.6% who said decreasing the budget deficit and public debt burden should take priority, while 21.4% said the government should concentrate on creating jobs.

Waste and corruption was considered the main reason for the country’s dire economic situation. 38.6% of those polled considered the present government responsible for the current economic situation in the country, while 20% lay the blame on the previous government, with 15.5% stating outside factors (see Graph 4).

 

• On politics, 84% believe there is real “opposition” in Lebanese politics, but only 30.2% view it as constructive, while 24.4% think it is negative.

• 40% of those polled say that there is no politician who expresses their opinions.

• 33% agree with elections on the basis of Lebanon as a single district (proportional representation).

• On the judiciary, 61% of those polled consider it under the influence of political pressure, while 25% believe it is partially independent and 12.4% think it is a totally independent body.

 

Behavior and Attitudes

 

Even if the public transport system is improved, 61.5% of respondents revealed that they would not use it, preferring to drive a car instead. This is according to a poll conducted in Central Beirut with a sample of 150 people in the month of April. 41.9% of the respondents also said that they own more than one car and 82% said they don’t share their car with others to go to work. Average weekly consumption of fuel was 56 liters and respondents fill their car an average of six times per month.

12.5% of university students reported using drugs at least once in a poll conducted in February with 1085 students in nine universities throughout Lebanon, including the AUB, LAU and the Lebanese University among others. More than half of those students (56.6%) said they tried drugs out of curiosity.

Hashish was the drug predominantly experimented with (67.7%), followed by marijuana (33.8) and cocaine (33.8%), while 7.7% reported taking tranquilizers, mainly Lexotanil. In addition, university students reported that the average proportion of drug users in their age group reaches 30%.

Attitudes toward the diesel ban were largely positive, with 77.9% of respondents agreeing with a ban on cars and vans that operate on diesel, while 22.1% did not. This was the result of a poll conducted with 1,350 people in the six mohafazas in July 2002. 74% of those who approved of the ban cited the reduction in pollution levels as the main reason, while 69% of those who opposed it said that the ban would increase unemployment in the country.

 

 

75.5% of Lebanese oppose the naturalization decree versus 24% who are in favor of it. In addition, a general consensus was detected against the naturalization of Palestinian refugees presently in Lebanon, with only 5% supporting such a move. With regard to foreign ownership, only 35% of respondents supported the idea while 66% were against it. The majority of those in support regarded it as a positive step in attracting foreign investors to the country, while those against it said they feared that it would lead to indirect naturalization.

The majority of the Lebanese public (57.3%) in 2002 did not support civil marriage, as compared to 18.5% who opposed it in 1997. In a poll conducted with 1,350 people throughout Lebanon in 2002, 37% favored the introduction of civil marriage, 1.1% were unsure and 57.3% were opposed to it. However, more than half of younger respondents (between the ages of 15 - 24) supported the alternative.

These figures show that the Lebanese public has adopted a more negative stance toward the idea of civil marriage than it had a few years earlier. A similar poll conducted in 1997 showed that only 18.5% of respondents were opposed to civil marriage, with 34% supporting it and almost 48% who were unsure.

In addition, 52.5% of respondents consider the Lebanese to be sectarian, using religion for political benefit.
 

 

** Please note that polls do not add up to 100% as only the most significant results have been cited**
 


 

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